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Today, I explore why both ordinary traders and institutional investors have a low opinion of the stock market.
This indicator is considered a gauge of investor sentiment and signals that investors are bracing for a downturn. “While the SSI does not capture every rally or decline in the stock market, the indicator has historically had some predictive power with respect to subsequent 12-month total returns of the S&P 500,” BofA analysts said on Wednesday. But they also pointed out that a second signal – the equity risk premium – shows that markets are pricing in an 80% chance of a mild recession and a 30% chance of a “full-blown” recession. And optimism only wanes when data points confirm the forecasts. BofA had previously predicted a recession before 2023, and this development confirms that hypothesis.
Seven million retail investors left $HOOD Robinhood last year. That’s a 34% drop. Investors are leaving the platform as stocks and cryptocurrencies lose momentum after the easy money days of the last two years. And the platform has taken notice and made changes, with Robinhood announcing plans this week to lay off 23% of its staff.
This veteran strategy chief warned investors not to fall for the recent stock market rally.
Michael Farr expects the current rebound to lose steam as recession fears climb. Instead, he recommends taking a beat from this four-part investing playbook.
Foreign customers are showing confidence in American real estate with all-cash offers even as bearish analysts are calling for a potential crash. Good Luck Yours Thomas aka Doc Holliday